April 6, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 056 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 162 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Karolina Kowalkiewicz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 126 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 216 | 248 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 140 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz controlled the striking exchanges with 140 vs 97 total strikes, 126 vs 86 significant strikes, 50.8% vs 39.8% accuracy. Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 119 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz controlled Felice Herrig on the ground with 1:11 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this activity level, while Felice Herrig's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felice Herrig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 056 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.