October 5, 2018
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +39 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Felice Herrig.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 033 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 110 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 107 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 131 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez dominated the striking exchanges with 131 vs 70 total strikes, 76 vs 51 significant strikes, 71.0% vs 51.0% accuracy. Michelle Waterson-Gomez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:58 | 2:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 1 089 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Felice Herrig on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:49 of control time, 26 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +41 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michelle Waterson-Gomez capitalized on this activity level, while Felice Herrig's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
Michelle Waterson-Gomez extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felice Herrig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 033 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.