April 17, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 025 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Paige VanZant earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 199 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Paige VanZant dominated the striking exchanges with 199 vs 44 total strikes, 67 vs 28 significant strikes, 72.8% vs 59.6% accuracy. Paige VanZant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:43 | 10:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 37 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Paige VanZant dominated Felice Herrig on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 10:33 of control time, 37 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Paige VanZant demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paige VanZant capitalized on this activity level, while Felice Herrig's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Paige VanZant extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felice Herrig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felice Herrig | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.