November 12, 2021
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Felicia Spencer's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Felicia Spencer for the expected result. Had Leah Letson pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:25 | 4:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 173 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -30 |
Felicia Spencer gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 227 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 146 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Felicia Spencer dominated the striking exchanges with 227 vs 69 total strikes, 56 vs 17 significant strikes, 71.8% vs 47.2% accuracy. Felicia Spencer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:58 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Felicia Spencer dominated Leah Letson on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 11:58 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 1 079 |
| Activity ELO | 1 042 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Felicia Spencer demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Felicia Spencer capitalized on this activity level, while Leah Letson's 1079-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Felicia Spencer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leah Letson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Leah Letson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.