February 28, 2020
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 028 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:37 | 3:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 134 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -30 |
Felicia Spencer earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 115 | 888 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Felicia Spencer dominated the striking exchanges with 68 vs 14 total strikes, 40 vs 13 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 46.4% accuracy. Felicia Spencer capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 30 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 786 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Felicia Spencer controlled Zarah Fairn on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:21 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Felicia Spencer demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Felicia Spencer capitalized on this activity level, while Zarah Fairn's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Felicia Spencer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zarah Fairn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felicia Spencer | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.