July 6, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Felipe Arantes's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Felipe Arantes for the expected result. Had Jerrod Sanders pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 160 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -32 |
Felipe Arantes earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jerrod Sanders was submitted.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 085 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Jerrod Sanders controlled the striking through superior volume (32 vs 5 total strikes), superior accuracy (60.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Jerrod Sanders lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Felipe Arantes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 4:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Felipe Arantes edged out Jerrod Sanders on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:37 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 319 | 361 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Felipe Arantes demonstrated standard activity with 319 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Felipe Arantes capitalized on this activity level, while Jerrod Sanders's 361-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Felipe Arantes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jerrod Sanders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Jerrod Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

