October 20, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +45 |
Josh Emmett overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Felipe Arantes.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 098 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Josh Emmett earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 211 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 4 |
| Striking ELO | 884 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -183 | +183 |
Josh Emmett dominated the striking exchanges with 78 vs 44 total strikes, 67 vs 43 significant strikes, including 4 devastating knockdowns. Josh Emmett capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 949 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Josh Emmett controlled Felipe Arantes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:45 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Josh Emmett demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Josh Emmett capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe Arantes's 350-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Josh Emmett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe Arantes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

