February 14, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Felipe Arantes's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Felipe Arantes for the expected result. Had Maximo Blanco pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Felipe Arantes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Maximo Blanco controlled the striking through superior volume (73 vs 47 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (44 vs 39). However, since Maximo Blanco lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Felipe Arantes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:57 | 3:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 031 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Felipe Arantes landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 165 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 052 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Felipe Arantes demonstrated solid activity levels with 165 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Felipe Arantes capitalized on this activity level, while Maximo Blanco's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Felipe Arantes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maximo Blanco is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felipe Arantes | Maximo Blanco |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.