Felipe Bunes vs Joshua Van

January 12, 2024

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
Felipe Bunes
Winner: Joshua Van
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:31

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Felipe Bunes-31
Joshua Van+41
1092
(+41)
Joshua Van

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -24Joshua Van: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9761 106
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joshua Van for the expected result. Had Felipe Bunes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -19Joshua Van: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -36Joshua Van: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:314:31
Win Type ELO9641 124
ELO Change-36+74
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -88Joshua Van: +88

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Significant Strikes Landed5083
Significant Strikes Attempted91141
Total Strikes Landed57154
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9121 143
ELO Change-88+88
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van dominated the striking exchanges with 154 vs 57 total strikes, 83 vs 50 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -29Joshua Van: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted61
Ground Control Time2:021:14
Ground Strikes Landed013
Ground ELO9711 078
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -18Joshua Van: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Days Since Last FightN/A63
Activity ELO9821 110
ELO Change-18+53
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe Bunes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -18Joshua Van: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 066
ELO Change-18+24
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe Bunes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Bunes: -19Joshua Van: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe BunesJoshua Van
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.