April 30, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -36 |
Felipe Colares overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Luke Sanders.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Felipe Colares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 211 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 131 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 937 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Luke Sanders controlled the striking through superior volume (131 vs 104 total strikes), significant strike advantage (118 vs 78), 1 knockdown. However, since Luke Sanders lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Felipe Colares's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 2:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 988 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Felipe Colares edged out Luke Sanders on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:54 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 462 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Felipe Colares demonstrated extended layoff with 462 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Felipe Colares capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Sanders's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Felipe Colares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Sanders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felipe Colares | Luke Sanders |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.