June 28, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Payton Talbott's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Payton Talbott for the expected result. Had Felipe Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Payton Talbott earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Payton Talbott dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 37 total strikes, 59 vs 26 significant strikes. Payton Talbott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:23 | 4:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 042 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Payton Talbott controlled Felipe Lima on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:49 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Payton Talbott demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Payton Talbott capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe Lima's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Payton Talbott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe Lima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felipe Lima | Payton Talbott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

