Felipe Lima vs Payton Talbott

June 28, 2025

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1060
(-32)
Felipe Lima
Winner: Payton Talbott
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Felipe Lima-32
Payton Talbott+34
1124
(+34)
Payton Talbott

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -38Payton Talbott: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 1191 117
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Payton Talbott's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Payton Talbott for the expected result. Had Felipe Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -22Payton Talbott: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0271 059
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -40Payton Talbott: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1141 207
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Payton Talbott earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -29Payton Talbott: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Significant Strikes Landed2659
Significant Strikes Attempted58118
Total Strikes Landed3797
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0551 242
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Payton Talbott dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 37 total strikes, 59 vs 26 significant strikes. Payton Talbott capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -65Payton Talbott: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted151
Ground Control Time3:234:49
Ground Strikes Landed220
Ground ELO1 0421 115
ELO Change-65+65
💡

What Happened

Payton Talbott controlled Felipe Lima on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:49 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -20Payton Talbott: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Days Since Last Fight196161
Activity ELO1 0551 122
ELO Change-20+35
💡

What Happened

Payton Talbott demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Payton Talbott capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe Lima's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -21Payton Talbott: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0371 074
ELO Change-21+24
💡

What Happened

Payton Talbott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe Lima is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe Lima: -22Payton Talbott: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe LimaPayton Talbott
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0271 059
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.