March 22, 2025
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +33 |
Lone'er Kavanagh overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Felipe dos Santos.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 965 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 922 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Lone'er Kavanagh earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 97 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Felipe dos Santos controlled the striking through superior volume (92 vs 71 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (51 vs 58), superior accuracy (49.0% vs 59.8%). However, since Felipe dos Santos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lone'er Kavanagh's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 6:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 882 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Lone'er Kavanagh controlled Felipe dos Santos on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:33 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +50 |
Lone'er Kavanagh demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lone'er Kavanagh capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe dos Santos's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 969 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Lone'er Kavanagh extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Felipe dos Santos | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 965 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

