Felipe dos Santos vs Lone'er Kavanagh

March 22, 2025

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

953
(-25)
Felipe dos Santos
Winner: Lone'er Kavanagh
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Felipe dos Santos-25
Lone'er Kavanagh+30
1054
(+30)
Lone'er Kavanagh

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -29Lone'er Kavanagh: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO9671 054
ELO Change-29+33
💡

What Happened

Lone'er Kavanagh overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Felipe dos Santos.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -19Lone'er Kavanagh: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9651 040
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -31Lone'er Kavanagh: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9221 073
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Lone'er Kavanagh earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -20Lone'er Kavanagh: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Significant Strikes Landed5158
Significant Strikes Attempted10497
Total Strikes Landed9271
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9661 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Felipe dos Santos controlled the striking through superior volume (92 vs 71 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (51 vs 58), superior accuracy (49.0% vs 59.8%). However, since Felipe dos Santos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lone'er Kavanagh's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -46Lone'er Kavanagh: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted36
Ground Control Time0:566:33
Ground Strikes Landed1926
Ground ELO8821 067
ELO Change-46+46
💡

What Happened

Lone'er Kavanagh controlled Felipe dos Santos on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:33 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -20Lone'er Kavanagh: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Days Since Last Fight197119
Activity ELO9861 071
ELO Change-20+50
💡

What Happened

Lone'er Kavanagh demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lone'er Kavanagh capitalized on this activity level, while Felipe dos Santos's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -19Lone'er Kavanagh: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9691 046
ELO Change-19+23
💡

What Happened

Lone'er Kavanagh extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felipe dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Felipe dos Santos: -19Lone'er Kavanagh: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricFelipe dos SantosLone'er Kavanagh
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9651 040
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.