November 23, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:46 | 0:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +84 |
Shi Ming gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 916 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Feng Xiaocan controlled the striking through superior volume (58 vs 33 total strikes), significant strike advantage (48 vs 30), superior accuracy (47.1% vs 27.8%). However, since Feng Xiaocan lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Shi Ming's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 963 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Shi Ming landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Shi Ming demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shi Ming capitalized on this activity level, while Feng Xiaocan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Shi Ming started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Feng Xiaocan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Feng Xiaocan | Shi Ming |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.