Fernando Bruno vs Gray Maynard

July 7, 2016

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

942
(-17)
Fernando Bruno
Winner: Gray Maynard
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Fernando Bruno-17
Gray Maynard+17
1126
(+17)
Gray Maynard

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -21Gray Maynard: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Total UFC Fights217
Experience Gap-1515
Experience ELO9581 123
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

Gray Maynard's 15-fight experience advantage (17 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gray Maynard for the expected result. Had Fernando Bruno pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -16Gray Maynard: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9631 082
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -22Gray Maynard: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9361 159
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Gray Maynard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -26Gray Maynard: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Significant Strikes Landed3230
Significant Strikes Attempted10171
Total Strikes Landed4742
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO949919
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Fernando Bruno controlled the striking through superior accuracy (31.7% vs 42.3%). However, since Fernando Bruno lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gray Maynard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -14Gray Maynard: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Takedowns Landed23
Takedowns Attempted77
Ground Control Time2:286:41
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO8261 259
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

Gray Maynard controlled Fernando Bruno on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 6:41 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -9Gray Maynard: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Days Since Last Fight342461
Activity ELO9701 218
ELO Change-9+8
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What Happened

Gray Maynard demonstrated extended layoff with 461 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gray Maynard capitalized on this activity level, while Fernando Bruno's 342-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -11Gray Maynard: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9681 175
ELO Change-11+12
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What Happened

Gray Maynard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fernando Bruno is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Bruno: -16Gray Maynard: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando BrunoGray Maynard
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9631 073
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.