July 7, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Gray Maynard's 15-fight experience advantage (17 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gray Maynard for the expected result. Had Fernando Bruno pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 936 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Gray Maynard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 919 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Fernando Bruno controlled the striking through superior accuracy (31.7% vs 42.3%). However, since Fernando Bruno lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gray Maynard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 6:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 826 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Gray Maynard controlled Fernando Bruno on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 6:41 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 342 | 461 |
| Activity ELO | 970 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +8 |
Gray Maynard demonstrated extended layoff with 461 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gray Maynard capitalized on this activity level, while Fernando Bruno's 342-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +12 |
Gray Maynard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fernando Bruno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fernando Bruno | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

