April 28, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Fernando Padilla overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julian Erosa.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:41 | 1:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 138 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +138 | -58 |
Fernando Padilla earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 865 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Fernando Padilla controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 15 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Fernando Padilla capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Fernando Padilla demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Fernando Padilla capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Erosa's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Fernando Padilla started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Erosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fernando Padilla | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

