Fernando Padilla vs Julian Erosa

April 28, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1059
(+59)
Fernando Padilla
Winner: Fernando Padilla
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Fernando Padilla+59
Julian Erosa-48
1001
(-48)
Julian Erosa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +91Julian Erosa: -91

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Total UFC Fights113
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO1 091921
ELO Change+91-91
💡

What Happened

Fernando Padilla overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julian Erosa.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +22Julian Erosa: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 022998
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +138Julian Erosa: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:411:41
Win Type ELO1 1381 078
ELO Change+138-58
💡

What Happened

Fernando Padilla earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +76Julian Erosa: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Significant Strikes Landed2015
Significant Strikes Attempted2924
Total Strikes Landed2015
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 076865
ELO Change+76-76
💡

What Happened

Fernando Padilla controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 15 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Fernando Padilla capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +70Julian Erosa: -70

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 0701 048
ELO Change+70-70
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +27Julian Erosa: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Days Since Last FightN/A133
Activity ELO1 0271 076
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Fernando Padilla demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Fernando Padilla capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Erosa's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +26Julian Erosa: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0261 021
ELO Change+26-24
💡

What Happened

Fernando Padilla started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Erosa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: +22Julian Erosa: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaJulian Erosa
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 022998
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.