Fernando Padilla vs Sean Woodson

December 14, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(-33)
Fernando Padilla
Winner: Sean Woodson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:58

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Fernando Padilla-33
Sean Woodson+39
1186
(+39)
Sean Woodson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -21Sean Woodson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Total UFC Fights49
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 0581 225
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Sean Woodson's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Woodson for the expected result. Had Fernando Padilla pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -17Sean Woodson: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 110
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -38Sean Woodson: +81

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:584:58
Win Type ELO1 1041 259
ELO Change-38+81
💡

What Happened

Sean Woodson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -80Sean Woodson: +80

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Significant Strikes Landed2238
Significant Strikes Attempted6971
Total Strikes Landed2438
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0511 275
ELO Change-80+80
💡

What Happened

Sean Woodson controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 22 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 31.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean Woodson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -58Sean Woodson: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:091:03
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0771 172
ELO Change-58+58
💡

What Happened

Sean Woodson landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -13Sean Woodson: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Days Since Last Fight267218
Activity ELO1 0191 195
ELO Change-13+16
💡

What Happened

Sean Woodson demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Woodson capitalized on this activity level, while Fernando Padilla's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -16Sean Woodson: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0091 139
ELO Change-16+22
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What Happened

Sean Woodson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fernando Padilla is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Fernando Padilla: -17Sean Woodson: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricFernando PadillaSean Woodson
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 110
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.