July 15, 1999
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +69 |
Paul Jones earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 918 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Paul Jones controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 15 total strikes, 21 vs 1 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 50.0% accuracy. Paul Jones capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 3:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 879 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -121 | +121 |
Paul Jones dominated Flavio Luiz Moura on the ground with 3:57 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Paul Jones demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paul Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Flavio Luiz Moura's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Paul Jones started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Flavio Luiz Moura is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Flavio Luiz Moura | Paul Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.