August 26, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 181 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +56 |
Mauricio Rua overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Forrest Griffin.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 157 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 272 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +86 |
Mauricio Rua earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 1 426 |
| ELO Change | -117 | +117 |
Mauricio Rua controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 3 significant strikes, 55.2% vs 15.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mauricio Rua capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 208 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Mauricio Rua landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 259 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +53 |
Mauricio Rua demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mauricio Rua capitalized on this activity level, while Forrest Griffin's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +29 |
Mauricio Rua started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Forrest Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.