July 4, 2008
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Forrest Griffin's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Forrest Griffin for the expected result. Had Quinton Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 161 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -27 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Forrest Griffin captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 260 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Forrest Griffin earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 276 | 138 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 200 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Forrest Griffin controlled the striking exchanges with 113 vs 73 total strikes, 77 vs 50 significant strikes, 27.9% vs 36.2% accuracy. Forrest Griffin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:47 | 3:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Forrest Griffin edged out Quinton Jackson on the ground with 4:47 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 218 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Forrest Griffin demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Forrest Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Quinton Jackson's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Forrest Griffin extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Quinton Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.