December 26, 2008
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 140 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Rashad Evans captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:46 | 2:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 234 | 1 453 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +51 |
Rashad Evans gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 149 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 177 | 1 440 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Rashad Evans slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 47.6% vs 33.6% accuracy. Rashad Evans capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 1 187 | 1 458 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Rashad Evans controlled Forrest Griffin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:11 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 201 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +42 |
Rashad Evans demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Forrest Griffin's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 102 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Rashad Evans extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Forrest Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.