November 20, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 170 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -39 |
Forrest Griffin overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tito Ortiz.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 157 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 239 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Forrest Griffin receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 206 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 216 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Forrest Griffin controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 56 total strikes, 70 vs 24 significant strikes. Forrest Griffin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:11 | 4:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 186 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Forrest Griffin did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tito Ortiz on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 547 |
| Activity ELO | 1 266 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -31 |
Forrest Griffin demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Forrest Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Tito Ortiz's 547-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 123 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Forrest Griffin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tito Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Forrest Griffin | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.