April 4, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 945 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Kuniyoshi Hironaka earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 987 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Kuniyoshi Hironaka dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 26 total strikes, 26 vs 7 significant strikes, 57.8% vs 20.0% accuracy. Kuniyoshi Hironaka capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:48 | 10:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 842 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Kuniyoshi Hironaka dominated Forrest Petz on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:03 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 173 |
| Activity ELO | 975 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +38 |
Kuniyoshi Hironaka demonstrated solid activity levels with 173 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kuniyoshi Hironaka capitalized on this activity level, while Forrest Petz's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 976 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Kuniyoshi Hironaka started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Forrest Petz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.