June 11, 2007
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Forrest Petz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 272 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 015 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Luigi Fioravanti controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (45 vs 40), superior accuracy (37.2% vs 14.7%). However, since Luigi Fioravanti lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Forrest Petz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 872 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 68 | 101 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -26 |
Forrest Petz demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 68 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Forrest Petz capitalized on this activity level, while Luigi Fioravanti's 101-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Forrest Petz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luigi Fioravanti is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Forrest Petz | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

