Forrest Petz vs Sammy Morgan

August 16, 2006

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1053
(+53)
Forrest Petz
Winner: Forrest Petz
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Forrest Petz+53
Sammy Morgan-53
910
(-53)
Sammy Morgan

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +61Sammy Morgan: -61

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 061918
ELO Change+61-61
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +20Sammy Morgan: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020959
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +37Sammy Morgan: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 037921
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Forrest Petz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +157Sammy Morgan: -157

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Significant Strikes Landed458
Significant Strikes Attempted8344
Total Strikes Landed10258
Knockdowns Scored50
Striking ELO1 157753
ELO Change+157-157
💡

What Happened

Forrest Petz dominated the striking exchanges with 102 vs 58 total strikes, 45 vs 8 significant strikes, 54.2% vs 18.2% accuracy, including 5 devastating knockdowns. Forrest Petz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +88Sammy Morgan: -88

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted67
Ground Control Time7:250:00
Ground Strikes Landed140
Ground ELO1 088853
ELO Change+88-88
💡

What Happened

Forrest Petz landed 5 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +20Sammy Morgan: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Days Since Last FightN/A285
Activity ELO1 020959
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Forrest Petz demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Forrest Petz capitalized on this activity level, while Sammy Morgan's 285-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +22Sammy Morgan: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 022959
ELO Change+22-20
💡

What Happened

Forrest Petz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sammy Morgan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Forrest Petz: +20Sammy Morgan: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricForrest PetzSammy Morgan
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020959
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.