January 19, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 941 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Gian Villante's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gian Villante for the expected result. Had Francimar Barroso pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 992 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 060 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Gian Villante receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 209 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Francimar Barroso controlled the striking through superior accuracy (57.8% vs 35.4%). However, since Francimar Barroso lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gian Villante's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Gian Villante demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gian Villante capitalized on this activity level, while Francimar Barroso's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Gian Villante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francimar Barroso is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

