May 7, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Nikita Krylov's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nikita Krylov for the expected result. Had Francimar Barroso pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:11 | 3:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 092 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +39 |
Nikita Krylov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Francimar Barroso was submitted.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 042 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Nikita Krylov dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 34 total strikes, 58 vs 22 significant strikes. Nikita Krylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:40 | 4:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 979 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Nikita Krylov dominated Francimar Barroso on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:04 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Nikita Krylov demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nikita Krylov capitalized on this activity level, while Francimar Barroso's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Nikita Krylov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francimar Barroso is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francimar Barroso | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

