February 14, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +42 |
Jacare Souza overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francis Carmont.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 206 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jacare Souza earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 245 | 1 356 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Jacare Souza slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Jacare Souza capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 8:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 227 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Jacare Souza controlled Francis Carmont on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:41 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 165 |
| Activity ELO | 1 189 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +46 |
Jacare Souza demonstrated solid activity levels with 165 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jacare Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Carmont's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +36 |
Jacare Souza extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francis Carmont is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.