April 13, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:42 | 1:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 102 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -37 |
Francis Carmont earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Magnus Cedenblad was submitted.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 108 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Francis Carmont controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 11 significant strikes, 93.3% vs 78.6% accuracy. Francis Carmont capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:38 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 26 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 154 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Francis Carmont dominated Magnus Cedenblad on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:38 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -20 |
Francis Carmont demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francis Carmont capitalized on this activity level, while Magnus Cedenblad's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Francis Carmont extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Magnus Cedenblad is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francis Carmont | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

