Francis Carmont vs Tom Lawlor

November 16, 2012

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1142
(+25)
Francis Carmont
Winner: Francis Carmont
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francis Carmont+25
Tom Lawlor-21
1062
(-21)
Tom Lawlor

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +33Tom Lawlor: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Total UFC Fights48
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 1571 035
ELO Change+33-26
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What Happened

Francis Carmont overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tom Lawlor.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +18Tom Lawlor: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 078999
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +12Tom Lawlor: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1711 200
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Francis Carmont receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +34Tom Lawlor: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Significant Strikes Landed3420
Significant Strikes Attempted8475
Total Strikes Landed4431
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1601 097
ELO Change+34-34
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What Happened

Francis Carmont edged the striking exchanges with 34 vs 20 significant strikes, 40.5% vs 26.7% accuracy. Francis Carmont capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +19Tom Lawlor: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted28
Ground Control Time1:326:47
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 2431 089
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Francis Carmont did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tom Lawlor on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:32 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +39Tom Lawlor: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Days Since Last Fight130187
Activity ELO1 1531 067
ELO Change+39-19
💡

What Happened

Francis Carmont demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francis Carmont capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Lawlor's 187-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +26Tom Lawlor: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 0981 012
ELO Change+26-18
💡

What Happened

Francis Carmont extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Lawlor is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Carmont: +18Tom Lawlor: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis CarmontTom Lawlor
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 078999
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.