August 11, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Isaac Dulgarian overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francis Marshall.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +106 |
Isaac Dulgarian earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 904 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -125 | +125 |
Isaac Dulgarian dominated the striking exchanges with 61 vs 11 total strikes, 35 vs 2 significant strikes, 66.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Isaac Dulgarian capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 32 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Isaac Dulgarian controlled Francis Marshall on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:18 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Isaac Dulgarian demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Isaac Dulgarian capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Marshall's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Isaac Dulgarian started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francis Marshall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | Isaac Dulgarian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.