Francis Marshall vs Marcelo Rojo

December 2, 2022

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1037
(+37)
Francis Marshall
Winner: Francis Marshall
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:14

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francis Marshall+37
Marcelo Rojo-31
908
(-31)
Marcelo Rojo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +57Marcelo Rojo: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 057892
ELO Change+57-57
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What Happened

Francis Marshall overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcelo Rojo.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +19Marcelo Rojo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 019942
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +74Marcelo Rojo: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:141:14
Win Type ELO1 074913
ELO Change+74-36
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What Happened

Francis Marshall gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +60Marcelo Rojo: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Significant Strikes Landed2331
Significant Strikes Attempted8147
Total Strikes Landed2948
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 060840
ELO Change+60-60
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What Happened

Marcelo Rojo controlled the striking through superior volume (48 vs 29 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (31 vs 23), superior accuracy (66.0% vs 28.4%). However, since Marcelo Rojo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Francis Marshall's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +23Marcelo Rojo: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time2:470:00
Ground Strikes Landed65
Ground ELO1 023847
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

Francis Marshall landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +19Marcelo Rojo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Days Since Last FightN/A294
Activity ELO1 019944
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Francis Marshall demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Francis Marshall capitalized on this activity level, while Marcelo Rojo's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +21Marcelo Rojo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 021943
ELO Change+21-19
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What Happened

Francis Marshall started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcelo Rojo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Marshall: +19Marcelo Rojo: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis MarshallMarcelo Rojo
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 019942
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.