April 21, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with William Gomis receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
William Gomis edged the striking exchanges with 27 vs 15 significant strikes, 34.2% vs 11.4% accuracy. William Gomis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:20 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 006 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
William Gomis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Francis Marshall on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:17 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
William Gomis demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, William Gomis capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Marshall's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
William Gomis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francis Marshall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francis Marshall | William Gomis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

