May 8, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 362 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Francis Ngannou's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francis Ngannou for the expected result. Had Jairzinho Rozenstruik pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 190 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:20 | 0:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 833 | 1 473 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -12 |
Francis Ngannou secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:20 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 808 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Francis Ngannou controlled the striking exchanges with 46.2% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francis Ngannou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 415 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 422 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Francis Ngannou demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Francis Ngannou capitalized on this activity level, while Jairzinho Rozenstruik's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 270 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -13 |
Francis Ngannou extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jairzinho Rozenstruik is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 173 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

