Francis Ngannou vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

May 8, 2020

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1434
(+19)
Francis Ngannou
Winner: Francis Ngannou
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:20

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francis Ngannou+19
Jairzinho Rozenstruik-16
1207
(-16)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +24Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Total UFC Fights125
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 3621 235
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Francis Ngannou's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francis Ngannou for the expected result. Had Jairzinho Rozenstruik pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +16Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1901 072
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +34Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:200:20
Win Type ELO1 8331 473
ELO Change+34-12
💡

What Happened

Francis Ngannou secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:20 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +13Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Significant Strikes Landed65
Significant Strikes Attempted135
Total Strikes Landed65
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 8081 344
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Francis Ngannou controlled the striking exchanges with 46.2% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francis Ngannou capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +17Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 4151 100
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +13Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Days Since Last Fight315154
Activity ELO1 4221 261
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Francis Ngannou demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Francis Ngannou capitalized on this activity level, while Jairzinho Rozenstruik's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +19Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 2701 104
ELO Change+19-13
💡

What Happened

Francis Ngannou extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jairzinho Rozenstruik is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francis Ngannou: +17Jairzinho Rozenstruik: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1731 069
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.