January 19, 2018
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 229 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Stipe Miocic's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stipe Miocic for the expected result. Had Francis Ngannou pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 115 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +31 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Stipe Miocic captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 544 | 1 816 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Stipe Miocic earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 200 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 534 | 1 760 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Stipe Miocic dominated the striking exchanges with 200 vs 33 total strikes, 70 vs 21 significant strikes, 73.7% vs 18.6% accuracy. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 15:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 28 |
| Ground ELO | 1 203 | 1 539 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Stipe Miocic dominated Francis Ngannou on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 15:05 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 282 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Francis Ngannou's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 186 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +39 |
Stipe Miocic continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Francis Ngannou's now at 0.
| Metric | Francis Ngannou | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.