January 19, 2021
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 038 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Francisco Figueiredo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 016 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Jerome Rivera controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (85 vs 39 total strikes), superior accuracy (23.1% vs 54.7%). However, since Jerome Rivera lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Francisco Figueiredo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:07 | 1:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 076 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Francisco Figueiredo dominated Jerome Rivera on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:07 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 124 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Francisco Figueiredo demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Francisco Figueiredo capitalized on this activity level, while Jerome Rivera's 124-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Francisco Figueiredo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jerome Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Figueiredo | Jerome Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.