July 14, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -39 |
Francisco Prado overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ottman Azaitar.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:05 | 4:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 113 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +136 | -63 |
Francisco Prado earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 134 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +163 | -163 |
Francisco Prado controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 16 total strikes, 38 vs 14 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 42.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Francisco Prado capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Francisco Prado controlled Ottman Azaitar on the ground with 0:49 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -23 |
Francisco Prado demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Prado capitalized on this activity level, while Ottman Azaitar's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Francisco Prado started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ottman Azaitar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Prado | Ottman Azaitar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.