September 4, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:08 | 2:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 164 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +70 |
John Lineker earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 166 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
John Lineker controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 16 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. John Lineker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 896 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
John Lineker dominated Francisco Rivera on the ground with 0:19 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
John Lineker demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Lineker capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Rivera's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
John Lineker extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.