June 3, 2011
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:57 | 1:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 957 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +65 |
Reuben Duran earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Francisco Rivera was submitted.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Reuben Duran controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 54 total strikes, 42 vs 22 significant strikes. Reuben Duran capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 6:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 843 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -157 | +157 |
Reuben Duran dominated Francisco Rivera on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:55 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 93 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Reuben Duran demonstrated solid activity levels with 93 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Reuben Duran capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Rivera's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Reuben Duran started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Reuben Duran |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.