Francisco Rivera vs Takeya Mizugaki

Takeya Mizugaki's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Takeya Mizugaki for the expected result. Had Francisco Rivera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Takeya Mizugaki earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Takeya Mizugaki controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 41 significant strikes, 25.9% vs 39.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this striking dominance.

Takeya Mizugaki controlled Francisco Rivera on the ground with 0 takedowns, 8:12 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Rivera's 199-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Takeya Mizugaki continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Francisco Rivera's now at 0.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.