Francisco Rivera vs Urijah Faber

December 5, 2014

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(-21)
Francisco Rivera
Winner: Urijah Faber
Submission
Round 2 • 1:34

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Rivera-21
Urijah Faber+24
1220
(+24)
Urijah Faber

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -25Urijah Faber: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Total UFC Fights711
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0191 141
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Urijah Faber's 4-fight experience advantage (11 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Urijah Faber for the expected result. Had Francisco Rivera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -17Urijah Faber: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0041 107
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -25Urijah Faber: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:341:34
Win Type ELO1 1121 325
ELO Change-25+39
💡

What Happened

Urijah Faber earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:34, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Francisco Rivera was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -50Urijah Faber: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Significant Strikes Landed1519
Significant Strikes Attempted5652
Total Strikes Landed1519
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1071 263
ELO Change-50+50
💡

What Happened

Urijah Faber controlled the striking exchanges with 36.5% vs 26.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Urijah Faber capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -12Urijah Faber: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:000:14
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9151 432
ELO Change-12+12
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -10Urijah Faber: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Days Since Last Fight197155
Activity ELO1 0301 251
ELO Change-10+18
💡

What Happened

Urijah Faber demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Urijah Faber capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Rivera's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -16Urijah Faber: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0161 137
ELO Change-16+19
💡

What Happened

Urijah Faber extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Rivera: -17Urijah Faber: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco RiveraUrijah Faber
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0041 107
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.