December 5, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Urijah Faber's 4-fight experience advantage (11 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Urijah Faber for the expected result. Had Francisco Rivera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:34 | 1:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 112 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +39 |
Urijah Faber earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:34, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Francisco Rivera was submitted.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Urijah Faber controlled the striking exchanges with 36.5% vs 26.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Urijah Faber capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 915 | 1 432 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +18 |
Urijah Faber demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Urijah Faber capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Rivera's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Urijah Faber extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Rivera | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

