Francisco Trevino vs Johnny Case

June 12, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1009
(-25)
Francisco Trevino
Winner: Johnny Case
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trevino-25
Johnny Case+28
1110
(+28)
Johnny Case

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -30Johnny Case: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Total UFC Fights23
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 0401 119
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -20Johnny Case: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0001 060
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -31Johnny Case: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0101 163
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Johnny Case earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -22Johnny Case: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Significant Strikes Landed3440
Significant Strikes Attempted74109
Total Strikes Landed4964
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0251 137
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Johnny Case edged the striking exchanges with 40 vs 34 significant strikes, 36.7% vs 45.9% accuracy. Johnny Case capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -40Johnny Case: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted27
Ground Control Time1:175:31
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO9901 170
ELO Change-40+40
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What Happened

Johnny Case controlled Francisco Trevino on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:31 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -19Johnny Case: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Days Since Last Fight455146
Activity ELO1 0031 097
ELO Change-19+37
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What Happened

Johnny Case demonstrated solid activity levels with 146 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johnny Case capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trevino's 455-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -20Johnny Case: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0021 071
ELO Change-20+25
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What Happened

Johnny Case extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trevino is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -20Johnny Case: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoJohnny Case
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0001 060
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.