Francisco Trevino vs Sage Northcutt

October 2, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

958
(-51)
Francisco Trevino
Winner: Sage Northcutt
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trevino-51
Sage Northcutt+60
1060
(+60)
Sage Northcutt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -75Sage Northcutt: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO9651 075
ELO Change-75+75
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francisco Trevino.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -21Sage Northcutt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -43Sage Northcutt: +115

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:570:57
Win Type ELO9671 115
ELO Change-43+115
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:57 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -146Sage Northcutt: +146

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Significant Strikes Landed121
Significant Strikes Attempted331
Total Strikes Landed121
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8791 146
ELO Change-146+146
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 1 total strikes, 21 vs 1 significant strikes, 67.7% vs 33.3% accuracy. Sage Northcutt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -57Sage Northcutt: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:090:00
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO9331 057
ELO Change-57+57
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt controlled Francisco Trevino on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -21Sage Northcutt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Days Since Last Fight112N/A
Activity ELO9821 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Sage Northcutt capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trevino's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -21Sage Northcutt: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9811 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trevino is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trevino: -21Sage Northcutt: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrevinoSage Northcutt
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.