Francisco Trinaldo vs Gleison Tibau

October 12, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1026
(-19)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Gleison Tibau
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo-19
Gleison Tibau+21
1192
(+21)
Gleison Tibau

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -23Gleison Tibau: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Total UFC Fights217
Experience Gap-1515
Experience ELO9981 139
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau's 15-fight experience advantage (17 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gleison Tibau for the expected result. Had Francisco Trinaldo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -18Gleison Tibau: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0031 091
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -29Gleison Tibau: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0611 232
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -18Gleison Tibau: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Significant Strikes Landed4536
Significant Strikes Attempted9763
Total Strikes Landed7096
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 0931 239
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo controlled the striking through superior volume (70 vs 96 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (45 vs 36), superior accuracy (46.4% vs 57.1%), 1 knockdown. However, since Francisco Trinaldo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gleison Tibau's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -20Gleison Tibau: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time4:086:37
Ground Strikes Landed116
Ground ELO1 0331 342
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau controlled Francisco Trinaldo on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:37 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -9Gleison Tibau: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Days Since Last Fight11298
Activity ELO1 0121 278
ELO Change-9+22
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trinaldo's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -16Gleison Tibau: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0071 124
ELO Change-16+18
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trinaldo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -18Gleison Tibau: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoGleison Tibau
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0031 091
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.