February 17, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 193 | 1 281 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +44 |
James Vick overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francisco Trinaldo.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 121 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 299 | 1 438 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
James Vick earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 158 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 206 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
James Vick controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 27 total strikes, 68 vs 26 significant strikes, 43.0% vs 28.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. James Vick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:36 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
James Vick landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 114 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 315 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +69 |
James Vick demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, James Vick capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trinaldo's 114-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 202 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +34 |
James Vick extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trinaldo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 121 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.