Francisco Trinaldo vs Jesse Ronson

February 14, 2014

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1060
(+23)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo+23
Jesse Ronson-21
948
(-21)
Jesse Ronson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +30Jesse Ronson: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Total UFC Fights62
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 008936
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Jesse Ronson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +18Jesse Ronson: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 038960
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +7Jesse Ronson: -7

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 112982
ELO Change+7-7
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Francisco Trinaldo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16Jesse Ronson: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Significant Strikes Landed5553
Significant Strikes Attempted148126
Total Strikes Landed6156
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 101957
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +50Jesse Ronson: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted42
Ground Control Time1:580:36
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO1 028862
ELO Change+50-50
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo controlled Jesse Ronson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:58 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +26Jesse Ronson: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Days Since Last Fight165148
Activity ELO1 105963
ELO Change+26-15
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 165 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Jesse Ronson's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +20Jesse Ronson: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 049960
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jesse Ronson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +18Jesse Ronson: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJesse Ronson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 038960
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.