October 27, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 28 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 223 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -29 |
Francisco Trinaldo overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (16 vs 28 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jim Miller.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 142 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 333 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 140 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 290 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Francisco Trinaldo controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 61 total strikes, 63 vs 34 significant strikes. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:40 | 2:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 247 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Francisco Trinaldo edged out Jim Miller on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:40 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 343 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Jim Miller's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 226 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Francisco Trinaldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jim Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 142 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.