Francisco Trinaldo vs John Makdessi

March 13, 2020

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1248
(+21)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo+21
John Makdessi-19
1111
(-19)
John Makdessi

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +26John Makdessi: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Total UFC Fights2117
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 2371 125
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 4-fight experience advantage (21 vs 17 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had John Makdessi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +18John Makdessi: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1471 058
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +30John Makdessi: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3601 199
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16John Makdessi: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Significant Strikes Landed5567
Significant Strikes Attempted126123
Total Strikes Landed5568
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2611 153
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

John Makdessi controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (67 vs 55), superior accuracy (54.5% vs 43.7%). However, since John Makdessi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Francisco Trinaldo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +12John Makdessi: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2541 066
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +29John Makdessi: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Days Since Last Fight119357
Activity ELO1 3521 142
ELO Change+29-11
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while John Makdessi's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +18John Makdessi: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 2221 092
ELO Change+18-15
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Makdessi is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +18John Makdessi: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1471 056
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.