Francisco Trinaldo vs King Green

November 15, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1227
(+18)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo+18
King Green-17
1058
(-17)
King Green

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +22King Green: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Total UFC Fights2011
Experience Gap9-9
Experience ELO1 2111 057
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 9-fight experience advantage (20 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had King Green pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16King Green: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1291 007
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +22King Green: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3301 107
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +14King Green: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Significant Strikes Landed3150
Significant Strikes Attempted122115
Total Strikes Landed3667
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2451 104
ELO Change+14-14
💡

What Happened

King Green controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (67 vs 36 total strikes), significant strike advantage (50 vs 31), superior accuracy (43.5% vs 25.4%). However, since King Green lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Francisco Trinaldo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +15King Green: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time1:043:43
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO1 2421 051
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo did not secure a significant ground advantage against King Green on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:04 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +22King Green: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Days Since Last Fight120336
Activity ELO1 3231 105
ELO Change+22-11
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +14King Green: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2041 030
ELO Change+14-13
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. King Green is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16King Green: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoKing Green
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1291 006
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.