September 12, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Francisco Trinaldo's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Leandro Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 101 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 065 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Francisco Trinaldo edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 26 significant strikes. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:58 | 6:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Francisco Trinaldo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Leandro Silva on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:58 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 462 |
| Activity ELO | 1 120 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -15 |
Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Leandro Silva's 462-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Francisco Trinaldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leandro Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

