May 23, 2014
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +31 |
Michael Chiesa overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francisco Trinaldo.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Michael Chiesa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Michael Chiesa dominated the striking exchanges with 121 vs 23 total strikes, 19 vs 13 significant strikes, 27.1% vs 38.2% accuracy. Michael Chiesa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 952 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Michael Chiesa controlled Francisco Trinaldo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:49 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 199 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Michael Chiesa demonstrated standard activity with 199 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trinaldo's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Michael Chiesa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trinaldo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.